Prisco’s NFL picks for wild-card round: Bills roll over Patriots in AFC East rubber match, 49ers upset Cowboys

Like some of the NFL teams did with their players, I rested last week. That awful showing you saw with my picks came from my backup. It wasn’t me. Blame the backup. He was terrible. I was getting ready for the postseason.

OK. It was me. I played, and I got abused. LOOOOOOSER.

That certainly is not the week I wanted heading into the playoffs. I went 7-9 ATS, 8-8 straight up and 2-4 with my Best Bets as part of the Pick Six Podcast. That brings my season records to 144-125-3 ATS, 168-103-1 straight up and 59-54 with my Best Bets.

I do like the Super Wild Card Weekend games this week, so I am getting back on track.

My backup did a terrible job last week when I sat out, so I am ready to go.

Bring on the playoffs.

Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET (NBC)

Latest Odds:

Cincinnati Bengals
-5.5

The Raiders got into the playoffs by beating the Chargers on Sunday night, while the Bengals are coming off a loss where they rested most of their top players. That’s an edge to the Bengals. Cincinnati has an explosive offense, but the Raiders counter with a wicked pass rush. This will be decided by how well the Bengals can protect Joe Burrow. I think they do it well enough to win the game, but it will be close. The Bengals win their first playoff game since the 1990 season.

Pick: Bengals 27, Raiders 24

Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

Latest Odds:

Buffalo Bills
-4.5

This is the third game featuring these two this season, with each winning on the other’s field. New England won the first meeting in a wind storm in early December, while the Bills dominated the Pats at their place in late December. The weather is expected to be cold, but not that windy. That means Josh Allen can have success throwing the football. The Patriots haven’t been the same team on the road, especially quarterback Mac Jones. Look for the Bills to take away the run and dare him to beat them. He won’t. The Bills will be moving on.

Pick: Bills 30, Patriots 17

Which NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which Super Bowl contender will go down hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model on a 136-97 run on NFL picks.

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox)

Latest Odds:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-8.5

The Bucs beat the Eagles, 28-22, in Week 6 on a Thursday night. The Eagles were struggling at the time, especially running the football. But it was after that game that their run game took off when they made a commitment to it, resulting in them leading the league in rushing. That will be the key here, but the Bucs are good against the run. Tampa Bay did give up 109 rushing yards per game in the last three, well over their season

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Monday Night Football odds, spread: Giants vs. Buccaneers picks, NFL predictions from expert on 28-15 roll

Tom Brady and Daniel Jones will lead their respective teams into a primetime showdown on Monday Night Football to close out Week 11. Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are leading the NFC South standings with a 6-3 record and 4-0 mark in their home stadium. Tampa Bay lost its last two games, however, and the Giants enter with improved recent play. New York is 2-1 in the last three games, and the Giants have the rest advantage after a bye in Week 10.

Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Tampa Bay. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Buccaneers as 11-point favorites, while the Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 50 in the latest Giants vs. Buccaneers odds. Before you make any Buccaneers vs. Giants picks and NFL predictions, make sure you see what SportsLine NFL expert R.J. White has to say.

White, a CBS Sports fantasy and gambling editor, ended the 2020 season on an 80-59 run on all NFL picks, returning more than $1,400 during that span. It’s no surprise, as White has cashed huge twice in the world’s most prestigious football handicapping competition, the Las Vegas SuperContest.

In addition, White has gone an astounding 28-15 on his last 43 picks involving the Giants, returning more than $1,100. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, White has set his sights on Giants vs. Buccaneers. You can head to SportsLine to see his picks. Now, here are several NFL betting lines and trends for Giants vs. Buccaneers:

  • Giants vs. Buccaneers spread: Buccaneers -11
  • Giants vs. Buccaneers over-under: 50 points
  • Giants vs. Buccaneers money line: Buccaneers -550, Giants +400
  • NYG: Giants are 5-4 against the spread this season
  • TB: Buccaneers are 3-6 against the spread in 2021

Why the Giants can cover

Daniel Jones is a true dual-threat at quarterback, generating more than 2,000 passing yards and 250 rushing yards this season, and he is leading the team with 5.2 yards per carry on the ground. On the outside, New York is getting healthier, with Kenny Golladay posing a threat and talented rookie Kadarius Toney generating 352 receiving yards in seven games. Tampa Bay is just No. 22 in the NFL in pass defense this season, and only a handful of teams have allowed more passing touchdowns (17) than the Buccaneers.

With that offensive recipe as potentially successful, the Giants can also lean on a defense that has been excellent lately. New York has allowed only 39 points combined in the last three games, and the Giants are opportunistic in forcing a turnover on 14.7 percent of defensive possessions across the entire 2021 season.

Why the Buccaneers can cover

Tampa Bay is a strong defensive team, ranking in the top 10 in total defense, but the Buccaneers make their biggest gains on offense. Led by Tom Brady, the Buccaneers are No. 3 in scoring offense (31.0 points per game) and total offense (406.4 yards per game). Tampa Bay leads the

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